Unseasonable weather patterns are beginning to impact the availability of staple vegetables in UK supermarkets. From empty avocado displays to gaps in locally sourced carrots and parsnips, consumers are noticing the effects of a changing climate on their fresh produce options.
Supermarkets are preparing for a shortfall in broccoli, cauliflower, and other brassica vegetables over the coming weeks. The issue stems from an unusually mild autumn and winter, disrupting the growth cycle of these crops. This disruption is expected to coincide with the "hungry gap," a period from April to June when UK crops transition between seasons and availability is typically lower.
Hannah Croft, an agronomist at organic veg box provider Riverford, has already advised customers to expect "tight periods for broccoli supply later this spring."
Root crops like carrots and parsnips are also under threat, as persistent rain and waterlogged soil hinder their development. Dr. Gaye, a crop specialist, warns that unless the UK expands controlled growing systems such as polytunnels and greenhouses, supermarkets may increase imports from Europe, further marginalising domestic growers.
Dr. Gaye also points to the wider trend of climate instability—including flooding, drought, and frost—raising the cost of producing key staples like wheat, potatoes, and brassicas. Over time, these disruptions are expected to push prices higher.
In the longer term, the UK's warming climate could lead to shifts in agricultural production. Southern regions, already among the country's warmest, may begin to support crops such as grapes, apricots, and even peaches.