The North-Western European Potato Growers (NEPG) states that very late and difficult planting conditions and emergence problems on a large scale are cause for concern in some of the main potato production regions in Europe. "The context for the coming season will continue to be guided by the increase in processing capacity in Europe, and by a supply/demand ratio favourable to producers. But given the conditions of the current campaign, the growing risks affecting production, and market trends (competitiveness and consumption), this in no way guarantees a sustainable future for the sector. Many questions remain…" notes the NEPG.
Planting season and upcoming problems
Throughout the NEPG zone, potato hectareage will increase in 2024. Few official figures are available yet, but the increase could be up by 4% to 6%. Planting calendar lasted between 8 to 10 weeks this spring, with the very last plantings still underway last week! Current fields vary between full flowering and end of tuberization (with tubers as big as geese egg's) to just planted!
Emergence problems are very common with between a few percent to more than 80% not sprouting due mainly to rotting tubers, especially in Belgium and The Netherlands. The use of cut seed, delays in plantings, multiple desprouting, difficult planting conditions and lots of rainfall has rendered the whole planting and emergence season very complicated. Written off fields due to heavy rainfall and flooding are common, mostly in the Benelux and parts of Germany (Bavaria…).
There are more questions than answers concerning the future quantity and quality of the harvest. Will late planted varieties, some of which are no real processing ones, have big enough sizes and high enough under water weights?
Seed problems are not yet solved! Even though seed production is on the increase in France, seed production area in the Netherlands could be 3 % lower than in 2023. In addition, hundreds of ha of seed have been heavily damaged due to flooding and even written off in different parts of Holland. There is no clear indication yet on how tuberization and tuber count is and will be.
Processing demand and sales of processed products
Processing demand throughout the NEPG zone and higher processing capacity – mainly in France, secondarily in the other countries - is still on the increase. But sales of frozen chips and other processed products have been stabilizing or going down lately. There is more competition in the market, not only with the North Americans, but increasingly with countries as China, India, Turkey or Argentina.
Current and future risks and uncertainties
Risks potato farmers are taking have never been so high. The combination of expanding problems linked to climate change, this season's high blight pressure combined with resistance of some new Phytophthora strains, less fungicide availability is rendering potato cultivation evermore risky.
For more information:
Daniel Ryckmans
NEPG
Tel: +32 081/61 06 56
Email: [email protected]