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Pricing volatility more than 70 percent across fresh produce industry

ProducePay has released its inaugural Fresh Produce Industry Volatility Report. The report provides an analysis of the key factors driving volatility in the produce supply chain, challenging growth for agribusinesses, and the global industry.

The report revealed that the fresh produce sector experienced an annualized pricing volatility of 70 percent in 2023, with some commodities, like mangoes, showing nearly 150 percent volatility at the shipping point. Over 10 commodities recorded more than 90 percent annualized volatility, underscoring the industry's challenge in achieving price stability.


The report provides an analysis of the key factors driving volatility in the produce supply chain, challenging growth for agribusinesses, and the global industry.

"The central concern is the volatility in pricing, particularly for stakeholders within the supply chain. This report aims to demonstrate how volatility is holding the industry back and why it's vital for all stakeholders to work together in bringing more stability and predictability," said Patrick McCullough, CEO of ProducePay.

Building on two years of Annual Industry Surveys, the Volatility Report incorporates the latest 2024 survey results alongside further research. The report highlights several key factors affecting volatility, including extreme weather events, labor costs, and access to capital.



The release of the report comes ahead of the IFPA Global Produce & Floral Show, where industry leaders will gather to discuss key issues.

Key findings from the 2024 Industry Survey include:

  • 56 percent of respondents reported an increase in extreme weather events compared to 2023;
  • 59 percent noted higher labor costs and persistent labor shortages;
  • 60 percent of marketers (who both grow and buy produce) and 53 percent of growers indicated worsening access to capital compared to 2023.

The Volatility Report examines these challenges across three key stages of the supply chain:

  • Volatility at supply: Analyzes the impact of climate change, rising labor costs in the U.S., and differences in financing fresh produce between the U.S. and Latin America.
  • Volatility in distribution and transit: Focuses on the influence of fuel costs, driver shortages, and the role of intermediaries in maintaining quality during transit.
  • Volatility when trading: Highlights challenges in demand forecasting, supply disruptions, speculation, and economic factors like exchange rate fluctuations.

The release of the report comes ahead of the IFPA Global Produce & Floral Show, where industry leaders will gather to discuss key issues. ProducePay believes that addressing volatility should be a primary focus, with a collective effort toward long-term solutions.

"Reducing volatility will not only help businesses across the supply chain grow but will enable the industry as a whole to thrive. By doing so, we're cutting down on waste, lowering greenhouse gas emissions, and securing the food supply for future generations," said McCullough.

The full 2024 Fresh Produce Industry Volatility Report is available for download here.

For more information:
Alberto Velasco
ProducePay
[email protected]
https://producepay.com/

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