Mexico is expected to produce 2.75 million metric tons (MMT) of avocados in 2025, a 3% increase over the estimated 2.67 MMT in 2024. This growth is attributed to favorable growing conditions, improved agricultural practices, and strong export demand. Avocado exports are forecast at 1.34 MMT in 2025, up 5% year-on-year. The United States remains the top export destination, receiving 80% of shipments, followed by Canada (7%) and Japan (3%).
Domestic consumption is also rising. In 2024, Mexico's per capita consumption grew nearly 10% to about 27 pounds (12 kg), placing it among the top ten globally. Despite this, avocados remain a luxury good in Mexico due to their high price relative to other fruits. Imports remain minimal and are forecast to decline by 10% in 2025 to 3,800 MT.
The avocado planted area is projected flat in 2025 at 256,500 hectares, reflecting limited new plantings due to increased land use regulations and a deforestation-free certification program in Michoacán. Michoacán leads production with 68% of the national output, followed by Jalisco (12%) and the State of Mexico (5%). In 2024, Michoacán's output declined by 1% due to climate and regulatory enforcement, while Jalisco's rose by 5% due to stronger export demand.
Mexico's avocado sector benefits from ideal growing conditions—warm, subhumid climates, fertile volcanic soil, and altitudes between 1,200 and 2,300 meters. Most orchards rely on rainfall, though 39% now use drip irrigation to improve water use. The Hass variety dominates production, valued for its durability and flavor. In 2024, fruit weights ranged from 250 to 350 grams, though high summer temperatures reduced size and yield in some areas.
According to data from Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography, domestic avocado consumption is rising modestly, reaching 12 kilograms (27 pounds) per capita in 2024 from 11 kilograms (24 pounds) in 2023. Consumers can readily find fresh avocados in supermarkets and farmers' markets across the country. 5 Despite its popularity, the avocado is considered a luxury commodity in Mexico due to its relatively high prices compared to other fruits. Consequently, avocados are not included in the basket of basic food products as defined by the Government of Mexico.
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