Overall, Mexico’s market year (MY) 2023/24 deciduous fruit production is projected to remain steady year-to-year, with apple production increasing marginally, but from what is already estimated to be a large MY 2022/23 crop. Table grape production is projected to increase 1 percent. Mexico’s minimal pear production is projected to decrease slightly.
High food price inflation remains an issue for households and tempers demand, but a strong peso creates a variable situation where imports of U.S. product are stable. Domestic consumption of pears is projected down while apple and grape consumption is forecast to increase only slightly. Despite domestic production overcoming drought and climate challenges across all three crops in the current season, Post expects these factors could create wider variances in the year-to-year production situation in the future.